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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in NYC on Apr 7, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
47° or below 0%
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48° to 49° 0%
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50° to 51° 0%
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52° to 53° 0%
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54° to 55° 0%
$0 Trade →
56° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in New York City on April 7, 2026. These data serve as a high-stakes metric for volatility in spring weather patterns and urban climate trends.

April in New York City is a transitional month, historically characterized by significant thermal variability as the region shifts from winter to spring. Central Park weather station data is typically used as the official reference point for NYC temperature records. Local climate trends have recently trended toward wider swings in daily highs due to shifting atmospheric circulation patterns.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of meteorological conditions based on long-range climate models and seasonal historical averages.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What official data source determines the final result?

The official daily maximum temperature recorded at the Central Park weather station by the National Weather Service.

What is the historical average for this date?

April 7th in NYC typically experiences highs in the 50s and low 60s Fahrenheit, though extremes have occurred on both sides of this range.

How is the 'highest temperature' defined for this market?

It refers to the maximum temperature value recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026, as finalized by official weather reporting.

Does the market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, the outcome is strictly based on the actual recorded air temperature, not perceived or adjusted figures.

What happens if there is a discrepancy in the reported temperature?

The market resolves based on the official, final data provided by the National Weather Service or the designated primary data provider.

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