| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature category will contain the highest air temperature recorded in New Orleans on March 26, 2026. It matters for traders who want to express views on short-term weather variability and for anyone tracking early‑spring temperature extremes in the city.
Late March is a transitional period in the Gulf Coast: air masses from the Gulf of Mexico, frontal passages from the continent, and varying cloud cover all influence day-to-day temperatures. New Orleans has a complex local climate influenced by humidity, river and coastal proximity, and urban heat effects, so single‑day highs can swing well above or below seasonal normals depending on synoptic setup.
Market odds reflect collective market expectations about which temperature category will contain the observed daily maximum for that local calendar date; they are not guarantees. Settlement will be based on the official observing source and the market's specified measurement window and units, so review those terms before trading.
Most weather markets use the local calendar day (00:00 to 23:59 local time) for the named location; because the U.S. observes daylight saving, that will be the local time in effect on March 26, 2026. Confirm the event page for the market's official measurement window.
Settlement is determined by the specific data source named in the market terms—commonly an NWS/NOAA official observing site (such as the primary airport ASOS/AWOS or an NWS cooperative station). Check the market description to see which station or dataset the market will use.
Market rules typically specify fallbacks such as using the nearest official station, using NWS quality‑controlled post‑event analyses, or following a defined tie‑breaking procedure. Review the settlement rules on the event page for the precise protocol.
Traders will respond to model runs and observations indicating warm advection or a strong southerly flow (which raise highs), frontal passages or persistent cloud/rain (which lower highs), and any shifts in timing of precipitation relative to peak daytime heating.
Each outcome corresponds to a mutually exclusive temperature category or range defined on the event page; the observed daily maximum falls into exactly one category and that outcome settles. Check the event description to see the precise numeric ranges and the unit of measure used for this market.