| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in New Orleans will be on March 13, 2026. It matters for local planning (outdoor events, utilities, transportation) and for traders who want to express views on short-term weather outcomes.
New Orleans has a temperate, maritime-influenced climate and March is a transitional month when temperatures can swing due to passing fronts or warm Gulf air. Day-to-day outcomes on a single date are driven by synoptic-scale weather patterns, cloud cover, and local effects rather than long-term climate trends.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about the specific settled observation; they update as forecasts and observations change. Use the market as a real-time summary of available forecast information rather than a fixed historical statistic.
The market settles to the single official observing station or dataset specified in the market description; check the event page for the exact station (for example, a specified NOAA ASOS/METAR site or NCEI record). The named source is the authoritative reference for settlement.
Settlement typically uses the local calendar date at the specified observing station (from 00:00 to 24:00 local time) as defined in the market rules; confirm the market description for the time convention (local standard or UTC) used for this event.
Highest temperature refers to the maximum reported air temperature from the chosen official instrument/record for that date, as recorded and reported by the specified dataset. It usually follows standard meteorological practices (shielded sensor, standard height) as applied by that observing network.
Only the value from the single station or dataset named in the event’s settlement terms will be used. Other nearby stations may record different values, but they do not affect settlement unless explicitly listed.
Compare the settled value to historical daily records and long-term climatological normals available from NOAA/NCEI or local NWS climate summaries for March 13; those resources show typical ranges and historical extremes for that calendar date.