| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans, Louisiana, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a derivative instrument for meteorological data and regional climate trends.
New Orleans in early April is typically characterized by a transition toward late spring warmth. However, the region is susceptible to volatility driven by passing cold fronts or stagnant high-pressure systems that can cause significant daily temperature fluctuations. Historical records for this specific date indicate a wide range of possible outcomes depending on wind direction and Gulf moisture patterns.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily high falling into specific temperature bins, anchored by historical climatological data and long-range weather forecasting models.
The official daily maximum temperature is sourced from the National Weather Service (NWS) observation station at Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport (MSY).
It is defined as the maximum ambient air temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of the calendar day, April 6, 2026.
Yes, anomalous weather systems or tropical moisture surges can shift the temperature outside of typical seasonal averages.
The official record published by the National Weather Service or the National Centers for Environmental Information is considered final for the purposes of this market.
April is generally mild, but high temperatures can vary significantly, ranging from comfortable spring highs to occasional heat spikes if southerly winds dominate.