| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans, Louisiana, on April 3, 2026. It provides a way for participants to speculate on meteorological outcomes in a region known for its unique subtropical climate.
New Orleans experiences mild, humid weather in early April as the city transitions from spring toward the warmer summer months. Historical weather data for this period typically shows significant variability, heavily influenced by Gulf of Mexico wind patterns and the movement of continental weather fronts. Reliable data for this event will be sourced from official meteorological observations at Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of participants regarding the most likely temperature range, reflecting both historical climate averages and available long-range seasonal forecasts.
The official temperature will be determined based on data from the Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport (MSY) station.
The market outcome is based on the recorded maximum temperature provided by the official source, regardless of the cause, including extreme meteorological events.
April is a transitional month; temperature swings can be significant depending on whether a cold front pushes through from the north or warm air flows in from the Gulf.
The maximum temperature is the highest value recorded by the official station during the 24-hour period of April 3, 2026.
No, the market refers strictly to the ambient air temperature recorded by the thermometer, not the 'feels-like' or heat index values.