| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in New Orleans, Louisiana, on April 2, 2026. Monitoring localized weather data helps participants hedge against climate-related volatility or speculate on specific meteorological trends.
April in New Orleans marks the transition from spring to the pre-summer season, typically characterized by moderate temperatures and increasing humidity. Historical climate data for early April shows significant variance, as the region is susceptible to both lingering cold fronts from the north and warm, moist air masses arriving from the Gulf of Mexico. These shifts make high-temperature forecasting for specific dates a complex exercise in climatology.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how the specific weather conditions on this date will align with historical temperature ranges.
This market relies on official data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) monitoring station for New Orleans.
The market resolves based on the final recorded daily maximum temperature officially logged by the meteorological station, regardless of whether that temperature is driven by typical patterns or anomalous weather events.
The readings are specific to the standardized New Orleans observation site used by the National Weather Service.
April is a transitional month in Louisiana, often resulting in high variability due to the clash between cooling northern air masses and warming Gulf air.
The market targets the daily maximum temperature, which is the highest value recorded at any point during the 24-hour cycle of April 2, 2026.