| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on March 30, 2026. It serves as a data-driven gauge for late-March Midwestern climate volatility.
Minneapolis experiences significant meteorological variation during late March, as the region transitions from winter to spring. Historical data shows that daily highs during this period can range from sub-freezing arctic air masses to unseasonably warm spells driven by southern wind patterns. These fluctuations make late-March temperatures notoriously difficult to forecast long-term.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of weather outcomes, reflecting how participants weigh historical climate data against seasonal atmospheric models.
The official reading is typically derived from data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) station at Minneapolis-Saint Paul International Airport.
Because March is a transitional month in Minnesota, standard deviations for daily highs are wide, meaning the actual outcome can deviate significantly from the long-term historical mean.
Yes; the 'highest temperature' refers to the peak reading recorded at any point during the 24-hour calendar day of March 30, 2026.
The market resolves based on the finalized, verified official report from the NWS regardless of the severity or nature of the weather conditions.
While analysis can begin immediately, predictive accuracy generally increases as the date approaches and short-term atmospheric models become available.