| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 33° to 34° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35° to 36° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 37° to 38° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° to 40° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Minneapolis on April 2, 2026. It serves as a data-driven measure of early spring climate volatility in the Upper Midwest.
April in Minnesota is a transitional weather period characterized by rapid shifts between late-winter cold snaps and early-spring warming. Historical data shows significant variance in daily highs during this month, influenced by localized pressure systems and the region's continental climate. Traders must weigh historical averages against potential anomalies in seasonal atmospheric patterns.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how weather models and historical climatology will converge on this specific date. Fluctuations in these prices indicate shifting confidence in different temperature ranges as the date approaches.
The official temperature is based on the data reported by the National Weather Service station currently serving the Minneapolis area.
It refers to the maximum temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 2, 2026, as verified by official climate reporting bodies.
Yes, the official daily high is determined by the maximum value observed at any point during the calendar day; unexpected late-afternoon frontal passages can significantly shift the final measurement.
The market resolves based on the official final data release from the National Weather Service, which acts as the authoritative source for record-keeping.
Yes, localized temperature readings can be influenced by the urban density of Minneapolis compared to surrounding rural areas, which is factored into official station data.