| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° to 46° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on April 19, 2026. It serves as a derivative instrument for traders to speculate on meteorological outcomes in the Upper Midwest.
April in Minneapolis is a transitional period characterized by significant climatic volatility as the region moves from late winter to spring. Historically, the area experiences high variability in daily temperatures during this month, influenced by shifting jet stream patterns and the influence of continental air masses. Weather data for this market is derived from official National Weather Service (NWS) observations at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport station.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the temperature range; higher prices for a specific outcome reflect a greater consensus that the temperature will fall within that defined bracket.
The data is sourced from the official National Weather Service readings at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport (MSP).
The official high temperature recorded by the NWS remains the source of truth, regardless of the weather conditions that produce that number.
The daily high is defined as the maximum temperature observed during the 24-hour period of the calendar day, typically occurring in the mid-to-late afternoon.
Trading typically closes shortly before the date in question to prevent trading based on near-term real-time observations.
While averages shift over time, mid-April highs in Minneapolis generally span a moderate range, though day-to-day fluctuations remain high.