| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the maximum daily temperature recorded in Miami, Florida, on March 30, 2026. It provides a financial instrument for market participants to hedge against or speculate on climate-driven temperature fluctuations.
Miami’s climate in late March is influenced by the transition from winter to spring, typically characterized by moderate to warm conditions. Historical data for this period can be volatile due to the movement of cold fronts from the north meeting subtropical air masses. Tracking this data is essential for understanding regional climate trends and their impact on urban heat island effects.
The market prices represent the collective expectation of the maximum temperature, reflecting a consensus of meteorological models and historical averages.
The market relies on official data recorded at the Miami International Airport weather station.
The primary source is the National Weather Service (NWS) daily climate summary.
No, this market tracks the official air temperature measured by a thermometer, not the 'feels-like' index.
It is the peak temperature measured during the 24-hour period of March 30, 2026, as reported in the official daily climate summary.
The market outcome is based on the official temperature reported by the NWS, regardless of weather severity.