| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature will be recorded as the highest in Miami on March 21, 2026; it matters for weather-sensitive decisions and for people who follow short-term climate variability. Market prices aggregate trader views about the likely reported maximum as observations and forecasts evolve.
March in Miami sits in the late-winter/early-spring transition when day-to-day highs can be influenced by passing cold fronts, persistent southerly flow, or clear sunny conditions. Historical climatology provides a baseline expectation, but single-day extremes arise from synoptic-scale patterns, sea surface temperatures, and local effects like sea breezes and urban heating. This event uses a single official observation source for settlement as specified on the market page.
Market odds summarize how traders collectively expect the official reported maximum to fall among the listed outcomes; they update as new forecasts and observations arrive. Use the odds as a real-time indicator of market sentiment, and consult official meteorological sources for the raw observation used for settlement.
The event close time is set by the platform and currently listed as TBD on the market page; check the event page for the exact trading cutoff once it is posted.
Settlement uses the specific observation source named on the market page; many weather markets rely on an official NWS/NOAA station (commonly the ASOS at Miami International Airport), so confirm the designated station in the event details.
The date refers to the local calendar day at the designated reporting station (typically 00:00 to 23:59 local time); the precise definition used for settlement will be described in the event rules on the market page.
Ties in time do not change the highest value — settlement uses the official reported maximum value for the day from the named source; the timing of multiple identical readings does not alter which outcome is selected.
Anomalously warm southerly flow ahead of a frontal system, prolonged clear skies with strong solar heating, elevated near-shore sea temperatures, or a delayed sea-breeze onset that keeps onshore cooling from limiting daytime highs would favor an unusually high maximum.