| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Miami, Florida, on April 2, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
April in Miami typically marks the transition from the dry season to the warmer spring months, historically characterized by moderate temperatures and relatively low rainfall. Local climate variables are often influenced by the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation and sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico. Meteorological data for this location is officially sourced from the National Weather Service (NWS) reporting stations.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the daily maximum temperature will land within defined ranges, reflecting both historical climate averages and current long-range meteorological forecasts.
The official daily maximum temperature is sourced from verified National Weather Service reporting stations located in Miami.
April is generally warm and pleasant in Miami, with daily highs typically ranging in the low-to-mid 80s Fahrenheit, though variation can occur based on regional storm systems.
The market outcome is based strictly on the official maximum temperature reading recorded for that day, regardless of the weather conditions or severity.
Yes, sea breezes from the Atlantic and cloud cover patterns can lead to significant intra-day temperature fluctuations in coastal Florida.
The outcomes are segmented into specific temperature brackets to represent potential daily highs, allowing traders to cover various historical and forecast-based scenarios.