| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° to 89° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90° to 91° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 92° to 93° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 94° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas on April 7, 2026. Weather derivatives are essential tools for risk management in industries ranging from tourism and energy to agriculture.
April in Las Vegas marks the transition from pleasant spring weather to the early onset of desert heat. Historical data for this period shows significant variability, as the region's climate is influenced by regional high-pressure systems and shifts in jet stream patterns. Analyzing long-term trends provides insight into how the climate in the Mojave Desert is evolving over time.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of weather outcomes, where higher prices indicate a consensus that a specific temperature range is more likely to occur.
The official daily maximum temperature is determined by the National Weather Service, recorded at the primary station at Harry Reid International Airport.
April 7 falls during a period of rising average temperatures in Las Vegas, but it remains susceptible to late-season cool fronts that can significantly suppress daily highs.
The settlement relies on data reported by the National Weather Service; if the primary sensor fails, the NWS typically provides a corrected or interpolated official daily high.
Las Vegas has experienced a wide range of outcomes on April 7 historically, from cool, cloudy days to early-season heat waves, making this date difficult to predict long-term.
No, this market is exclusively tied to the official reading at Harry Reid International Airport, which serves as the standard meteorological benchmark for the city.