| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas on April 6, 2026. It provides a quantifiable way to hedge against or speculate on meteorological variability in the Mojave Desert.
April in Las Vegas marks the transition from spring to the onset of early desert heat, with significant day-to-day temperature swings driven by air mass movements. Historically, the city experiences a wide range of outcomes during this period as regional high-pressure systems begin to influence the Southwest. Relying on National Weather Service data, this market captures the specific climatic conditions of a single calendar day.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of future weather outcomes, reflecting current meteorological models and long-term historical climate trends.
The official daily maximum temperature recorded at the Harry Reid International Airport (KLAS) station, as reported by the National Weather Service, serves as the final settlement data.
No, the market strictly tracks the recorded air temperature in degrees Fahrenheit, ignoring subjective indices like heat index or wind chill.
Extreme weather events are captured by the market outcomes; the market settles based on the raw temperature reading regardless of how far it deviates from historical norms.
While microclimates exist across the Las Vegas Valley, the Harry Reid International Airport reading is the standardized official metric for the city.
The highest temperature is defined as the peak reading recorded during the 24-hour calendar day, which typically occurs during the mid-to-late afternoon.