| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas on April 3, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against or speculating on early spring desert heat anomalies.
April in Las Vegas is a transitional period characterized by significant variability as the region shifts from mild spring weather to the onset of early summer heat. Historically, daily highs during early April typically fall within a moderate range, though regional climate patterns and shifting atmospheric pressure systems can cause substantial deviations from the long-term average.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily high temperature falling into specific numerical ranges.
The official daily maximum temperature recorded at the official National Weather Service observation station at Harry Reid International Airport (KLAS).
The daily maximum temperature is the highest temperature recorded during the 24-hour period (usually midnight to midnight) on April 3, 2026.
Las Vegas's location in the Mojave Desert leads to high diurnal temperature ranges, meaning the daily maximum is sensitive to cloud cover, moisture levels, and wind patterns.
The market outcomes are binned into specific ranges; if the temperature reaches an extreme, the outcome corresponding to that range will be declared the winner.
This market resolves based on official historical weather data recorded on the day of the event, not on preliminary forecasts.