| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Las Vegas on April 2, 2026. It provides a data-driven way to speculate on regional climate trends and short-term atmospheric patterns.
April in Las Vegas marks the transition from spring to the onset of early summer heat. While the city typically experiences mild to warm temperatures during this time, anomalous high-pressure systems can occasionally cause significant deviations from historical averages. Meteorological data from Harry Reid International Airport serves as the primary benchmark for official temperature readings.
Market prices represent the collective sentiment of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily high falling into specific temperature ranges based on current climate models and historical weather data.
The outcome is settled based on official temperature readings recorded by the National Weather Service at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas.
Extreme events are included in the official temperature reading; the market relies on the official data provided by the National Weather Service regardless of the underlying weather phenomena.
Yes, Las Vegas sits in a desert basin at approximately 2,000 feet, which contributes to rapid heating during the day and significant cooling at night.
Historical data shows a wide variance in April temperatures, ranging from unseasonably cool to early-season heat waves, which defines the range of outcomes for this market.
Settlement occurs once the National Weather Service releases the confirmed high temperature data for April 2, 2026, typically within 24 hours of the day's end.