| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Las Vegas, Nevada, on April 19, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge or speculative instrument for climate-focused traders interested in meteorological volatility in the desert Southwest.
Las Vegas experiences significant seasonal warming by mid-April, though temperatures can vary widely depending on prevailing pressure systems and jet stream activity. Historical data for this date typically sits in the mid-to-high 70s or low 80s Fahrenheit, but anomalous heat waves or unseasonable cool fronts can create substantial fluctuations. Because this event is set for a specific calendar date, it isolates a single point in time, requiring traders to consider long-range climate models and historical weather trends.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of regional meteorological conditions; higher prices for a specific temperature bucket indicate a consensus that the weather will likely fall within that range.
The market relies on official data recorded at the Las Vegas Harry Reid International Airport station as reported by the National Weather Service.
It refers to the maximum temperature reached within the 24-hour period of April 19, 2026, consistent with standard meteorological reporting.
No, this market tracks the official ambient air temperature, not perceived temperature or heat index values.
The resolution process typically defaults to the next most reliable official government weather record for that specific station location.
While climate averages provide a baseline, desert environments are prone to rapid temperature swings, making long-range forecasting inherently difficult due to chaotic atmospheric variables.