| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles on March 30, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate trends.
Los Angeles weather in late March is characterized by a transition period where the region can experience anything from cool marine layers to unseasonably warm Santa Ana wind events. Historical temperature data for this date typically fluctuates within a moderate spring range, though historical extremes have deviated significantly due to varying pressure systems.
The prices on this market reflect the collective belief of participants regarding the probability of specific temperature ranges occurring, based on meteorological forecasts and historical climate records.
The official reading is typically derived from the National Weather Service recording station at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).
It is the peak temperature reached between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM PST on March 30, 2026, as recorded in official climate logs.
In the event of station data unavailability, market resolution usually defaults to the next most reliable NWS-certified source for the Los Angeles basin.
No, this market tracks the ambient air temperature reported by the official thermometer, not 'feels-like' metrics.
The market will settle shortly after the final data for March 30, 2026, is published by the National Weather Service.