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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in LA on Apr 2, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
64° or below 0%
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65° to 66° 0%
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67° to 68° 0%
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69° to 70° 0%
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71° to 72° 0%
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73° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Los Angeles on April 2, 2026. It provides a way to quantify meteorological uncertainty for a specific date in the spring season.

April in Los Angeles typically marks a transition period between cool, damp winter weather and warmer spring conditions. Historical data for early April often shows significant variability depending on the presence of coastal marine layers or offshore Santa Ana wind events. Monitoring long-range climate patterns and historical averages helps assess the likelihood of temperature deviations.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how extreme or moderate the day's weather will be compared to historical norms for the region.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which specific weather station is used to determine the result for this market?

The market typically relies on the official data recorded at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) or the designated primary reporting station for Los Angeles.

Does a heat wave or cold front early in the week impact the April 2nd outcome?

Weather systems are transient; however, larger climate oscillations can influence the regional atmospheric setup for that specific day.

What happens if there is an official data revision after April 2, 2026?

Settlement is generally based on the official weather data released by the designated meteorological authority at the time of the event conclusion.

How does the spring season affect the range of likely outcomes for this date?

April is a shoulder month where daily highs can vary significantly, ranging from mild mid-60s to occasional summer-like heat exceeding 80 degrees Fahrenheit.

How far in advance can meteorological models accurately predict this specific temperature?

While general trends can be assessed months ahead, high-precision temperature forecasts are only reliable within a few days of the event.

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