| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° to 89° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Houston, Texas, on March 30, 2026. Forecasting specific meteorological outcomes allows participants to hedge against or speculate on climate-driven financial risks.
Houston typically experiences a transition period in late March, where spring temperatures begin to fluctuate significantly due to varying gulf moisture levels and cold front patterns. Historical weather data for this date shows a wide range of outcomes depending on the arrival of seasonal storms or persistent high-pressure systems. Accurate tracking relies on verified reports from the National Weather Service stations designated for the city.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather models and historical climate averages for the Houston area as the date approaches.
The official daily maximum temperature is sourced from verified National Weather Service data for the primary Houston recording station.
The official high is the peak temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of March 30, 2026, regardless of the time it occurs.
No, this market tracks the ambient air temperature only, excluding wind chill or heat index values.
The market resolves based on the official temperature reading provided by the designated weather authority, regardless of weather severity.
The result is finalized shortly after March 30, 2026, once the National Weather Service publishes the official daily climate summary.