| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily maximum temperature recorded at the official weather station for Houston, Texas, on April 7, 2026. Accurate temperature forecasting is critical for energy grid management, agricultural planning, and retail sector logistics.
Houston typically experiences moderate to warm temperatures in early April as the region transitions into spring. However, the Gulf Coast climate is susceptible to rapid weather shifts driven by passing cold fronts or stagnant high-pressure systems. Historical data for this date shows significant variance, making precise daily temperature prediction a complex challenge for meteorologists.
The market prices reflect the aggregate expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily high temperature falling into specific numerical ranges. These prices adjust as updated long-range meteorological models and climate forecasts become available.
The market typically relies on data from the National Weather Service (NWS) official monitoring station, currently located at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH).
Spring in Houston is a transition season where the region frequently battles between lingering winter air masses and early heat surges, leading to higher day-to-day temperature variability.
No, this market tracks the official dry-bulb air temperature as recorded by a standard thermometer, not the heat index or dew point.
No, reliable hyper-local temperature forecasting is generally limited to 7–10 days; long-term projections are based on historical climatology and seasonal trends rather than specific daily forecasts.
The highest temperature is the peak value reached during the standard 24-hour meteorological day, typically measured from midnight to midnight at the official IAH weather station.