| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Houston, Texas, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
Houston typically experiences moderate spring conditions in early April, but the region is susceptible to sudden shifts in temperature due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico. Historical climate data for early April shows significant variance, often influenced by the movement of cold fronts from the north or warm, humid air flows from the coast. These factors make predicting exact daily peaks a complex task involving long-range atmospheric modeling.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of the final temperature range, with higher values reflecting a consensus for warmer weather and lower values signaling a cooler outlook.
The official temperature measurement is typically derived from the National Weather Service observations at Houston George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH).
It refers to the maximum temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 6, 2026, as reported in the official daily climate summary.
No, this market tracks the actual air temperature, not the heat index, wind chill, or any other derived metrics.
The market relies on official data provided by government meteorological agencies; if the station records the data, those figures stand as the final result.
Trading is available until the market reaches its closing date, allowing participants to adjust positions as meteorological forecasts become more precise leading up to April 2026.