| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Houston, Texas, on April 2, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
Houston's climate in early April is characterized by a transition from mild spring conditions to the early onset of warmer, humid Gulf air. Historically, temperatures for this date are subject to fluctuations based on cold front activity moving through the Southern Plains and the strength of onshore winds from the Gulf of Mexico. This market captures the outcome measured by official meteorological observation stations near the city.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather models and historical climate averages for early April in Southeast Texas.
The official temperature is typically determined by the National Weather Service (NWS) observation station at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), the primary climate site for Houston.
The market outcome is based on the final reported official high temperature for the date, regardless of whether extreme or anomalous weather conditions occur.
The market focuses specifically on the daily maximum (peak) temperature reached at any point between midnight and midnight on April 2, 2026.
No, this market tracks only the ambient air temperature recorded by standardized equipment, not the heat index or wind chill.
Meteorological models provide predictive data weeks or months out, though precision increases significantly within the 7-10 day window preceding the date.