| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Houston, Texas, on April 19, 2026. These data serve as a high-precision benchmark for regional climate volatility and spring seasonal weather patterns.
Houston typically experiences moderate spring weather in mid-April, as the region transitions out of winter but before the onset of extreme summer heat. Historical meteorological data for this specific date show significant variance, influenced by the shifting of cold fronts and the proximity of the Gulf of Mexico. Traders often analyze long-range weather models and historical climate averages to gauge potential temperature shifts.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of weather outcomes based on current meteorological data and historical climate norms. Higher market value on a specific range indicates an increased expectation that the daily high will fall within those degrees.
The official daily maximum temperature is typically sourced from the National Weather Service (NWS) monitoring station at Houston's primary observation site.
Mid-April in Houston is a transition period; the city can experience pleasant spring warmth or be affected by late-season cool fronts, leading to a wider distribution of potential temperatures.
The official daily maximum reported by the primary weather monitoring station remains the final authority, regardless of whether the day features standard conditions or anomalous weather.
In the event of station failure, official secondary data provided by the National Weather Service or a designated backup official record will be used to determine the final value.
The market tracks the 'daily maximum' temperature recorded over the 24-hour calendar day; the specific time of occurrence does not impact the resolution of the market.