| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in Denver will be on March 29, 2026; it matters for traders, weather-sensitive businesses, and anyone monitoring spring temperature variability in the region.
Late March in Denver sits in a transitional season where rapid swings between warm Chinook-influenced days and cool, snow-producing systems are common. Historical records show high variability in spring temperatures due to Pacific storms, upslope/downslope dynamics, and synoptic-scale pattern changes; those same drivers will determine outcomes on March 29, 2026.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about what the official maximum temperature on that calendar date will be at the designated observation site; interpret prices as the market’s consensus view of future readings, and consult the market’s settlement rules to see which station and observation period will be used.
Resolution depends on the market’s published settlement rules; typically the market resolves to the official daily maximum published by the designated observing station for the local calendar date, and settlement occurs after that official value is posted or after any defined revision window.
This market uses the specific station named in its rules—often the National Weather Service/NOAA-authorized station serving Denver (such as the primary airport station); check the market’s description to confirm the designated site used for settlement.
Markets generally follow the official definition used by the designated observing authority, which is normally the maximum temperature recorded during the local calendar date (00:00 to 24:00 local time) at the specified station; verify the market’s settlement documentation for any deviations.
Traders should consider that late March is a highly variable month in Denver, with past years showing both unseasonable warmth and late-season cold/snow events; trends in recent days, seasonal snowpack, and prevailing teleconnection patterns can offer useful perspective without guaranteeing outcomes.
Watch deterministic and ensemble model guidance (global and regional models), high-resolution short-range models for convective or chinook events, official National Weather Service forecasts and discussions for Denver, real-time surface observations, satellite imagery, and upper-air analyses that indicate approaching fronts or ridge building.