| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature will be recorded as the highest in Denver on March 27, 2026; it matters for short-term weather risk, event planning, energy demand expectations, and traders expressing views on near-term climate variability.
Late March in Denver is a transitional month with frequent swings between cool, snowy conditions and warm, springlike days driven by Pacific and continental weather patterns. Denver's location east of the Rockies means downslope warming (chinook) can produce rapid temperature increases, while persistent snowpack or a cold front can keep highs well below seasonal averages.
Market odds aggregate traders' beliefs about which outcome will occur based on available forecasts and information; they update as new observations and model guidance arrive. Treat odds as a real‑time, market‑based forecast rather than a guarantee of outcome.
Resolution will use the official meteorological observation specified in the market rules—typically the National Weather Service/NOAA official station for Denver (commonly Denver International Airport ASOS) unless the event page names a different source; check the market resolution clause for the designated observing source.
The event uses the local calendar date for Denver as recorded by the designated observing station (local time, including any daylight saving adjustments) covering the 24‑hour period from 00:00 to 23:59 local time unless the market specifies a different observation window.
The market will follow the platform's published resolution procedures: if the primary observing source fails or is disputed, the rules normally call for official backup sources such as NWS/NOAA daily summaries or the nearest reliable official station; consult the market's resolution clause for the specific fallback hierarchy.
Snow cover increases surface albedo and cools near-surface air, which can suppress daytime highs; conversely, absence of snow and strong sunshine promote higher daytime warming—so antecedent snow conditions materially affect the possible maximum.
Large-scale temperature tendencies are often well signaled several days ahead, with synoptic forecasts stabilizing roughly 3–5 days out; mesoscale details (front timing, chinook winds) that strongly affect a single-day high often require 24–48 hours of lead time for more confident prediction.