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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Denver on Mar 26, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
76° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
77° to 78° 0%
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79° to 80° 0%
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81° to 82° 0%
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83° to 84° 0%
$0 Trade →
85° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which temperature category will be the highest temperature recorded in Denver on March 26, 2026. The result matters for weather-sensitive planning such as public health warnings, energy demand estimates, and short-term climate monitoring.

Denver in late March is seasonally variable: it can see chilly mountain-influenced conditions, sudden warm spells, or rapidly changing weather from passing fronts. Long-term warming trends have shifted seasonal baselines, but day-to-day outcomes still depend on short-term synoptic weather patterns.

Market prices aggregate traders' expectations about which temperature outcome will be recorded; interpret them as a real-time summary of available information (forecasts, observations, and news) rather than fixed predictions.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exact measurement determines the winning outcome for "Highest temperature in Denver on Mar 26, 2026"?

The winning outcome will be determined by the highest official temperature value recorded for Denver on the calendar date March 26, 2026 as reported by the market's designated official meteorological data source and resolved according to the platform's published rules.

Which weather station or dataset will be used to resolve this specific event?

The market will use the platform’s designated official meteorological data source for Denver; check the event’s resolution rules on the trading page to see the exact station or dataset name and identifier that will be used.

When will trading close and when will the outcome for March 26, 2026 be resolved?

Closure time is listed as TBD for this event. Outcome resolution will occur after the official data for March 26, 2026 is published by the designated source; the platform typically posts the resolution once that official report is available.

How should traders use historical March 26 temperatures in Denver when evaluating this market?

Historical values provide context on typical variability and extreme possibilities for late March in Denver, but they do not guarantee the outcome because short-term synoptic conditions and local factors on March 26, 2026 will be decisive.

What happens if there is an exact tie or conflicting reports for the highest temperature on that date?

If there is an apparent tie or conflicting readings, the market will follow the platform’s published resolution and tie-breaking procedures, which typically rely on the single designated official source; consult the event’s resolution rules for the exact process.

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