| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what the highest air temperature measured in Denver will be on March 24, 2026. It matters for local planning (events, energy demand, travel) and for traders anticipating how weather patterns will play out on that specific date.
Denver's March weather is highly variable because of its foothills location and influence from large-scale weather systems; late-winter storms, springtime warm-ups, and downslope Chinook events have all produced rapid swings in temperature on single days. Climate trends and seasonal variability both influence expectations, but short-term synoptic setups typically determine the daily maximum.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about which temperature band will be observed and will change as forecasts and observations evolve. Use prices as a real-time signal of consensus, but consult official meteorological data and forecasts for operational decisions.
The contract resolves to the official observing station or data source named in the market terms (typically the designated NWS or airport station for Denver); check the market's resolution clause to see the exact station and dataset used.
The measurement window is defined in the contract and will be based on the local calendar date for Denver; verify the market page for whether the window uses local standard/time or an explicit 00:00–24:00 local time definition.
Each of the six outcomes corresponds to a mutually exclusive temperature range or discrete value as specified on the market page; consult the market listing to see the exact thresholds and labels for those outcomes.
Historical Mar 24 temperatures provide climatological context and examples of past synoptic setups, which can help assess how unusual a forecast would be, but short-term forecasts and current observations typically drive the final outcome.
The market close time is shown on the event page or set by the platform (if TBD, watch for updates); resolution occurs after the official observing agency publishes the daily maximum for the specified station and date, per the contract's resolution rules.