| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature in Denver will be on Mar 22, 2026; it matters for traders, weather-sensitive businesses, and anyone monitoring short-term climate variability. Outcomes provide a way to hedge or speculate on temperature-driven risks such as energy demand and outdoor-event planning.
Denver sits at high elevation and experiences large day-to-day temperature swings in spring, driven by synoptic patterns, chinook winds, and variable snow cover. Late March is a transitional month when both winter storms and early warm spells are possible, so forecasts can change rapidly as the date approaches. Long-term climate trends increase the frequency of record warm days, but daily weather remains dominated by atmospheric circulation on shorter timescales.
Market prices reflect the community's collective expectation for which temperature range will be the maximum on that date and update as new forecasts and observations arrive; interpret them as real-time consensus signals rather than exact measurements.
Settlement uses the maximum air temperature recorded by the official meteorological station and data source specified on the event page during the local calendar day; the market's rules list the measurement protocol, units, and any rounding convention.
The market will use the station or data feed named on the event page (typically an NWS/NOAA-designated station or equivalent); check the event details to confirm the exact station and authoritative source used for settlement.
The observation window is the local calendar day for Denver (from 00:00 to 23:59 local time) on Mar 22, 2026, with timestamps interpreted according to the local time zone and any daylight saving time in effect; the event rules specify the precise timestamp convention.
A strong regional ridge producing warm advection or a sudden chinook wind can drive much higher highs, while a late-season cold front, extensive cloud cover, or fresh snow cover can suppress daytime warming and produce much lower maxima.
As new model output, satellite and radar updates, and local station observations arrive in the days and hours before Mar 22, traders will revise expectations and market prices will change; monitor forecast updates and the market's close and settlement notices on the event page for timing.