| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature outcome will be the highest recorded in Denver on March 20, 2026; it aggregates traders' expectations about a specific daily weather statistic and can be useful for planners, weather enthusiasts, and those tracking short-term climate variability.
Denver's weather in late March can be highly variable: transitions between winter and spring bring a mix of warm chinook/downslope events and late-season cold or snow-bearing systems. The market offers six discrete outcomes and, as listed on the event page, shows zero recorded trading volume to date; consult the market page for outcome labels and any updates to volume or structure.
Market odds represent the collective view of participants about which outcome is most likely to correspond to the official recorded high for Denver on that date; changes in odds reflect new model runs, observations, or participant information rather than definitive certainties.
The market will resolve after the designated authoritative dataset specified in the event’s resolution rules publishes the official daily maximum for Denver on 2026-03-20; check the KALSHI event page for the exact settlement timing and the named observation source.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature bin or discrete value as defined on the event page; the market settles to the single outcome whose defined range contains the official highest temperature reported for Denver that day.
Resolution will follow the source named in the event’s rules; many weather markets rely on the official NWS/NOAA observation for the station listed on the page, so consult the event details to see which station or dataset KALSHI has designated.
Historical averages and past year-to-year variability provide context about what values are plausible, but they do not override the actual synoptic setup for 2026-03-20; use climatology as a baseline and weigh it against current forecast guidance and recent observations.
Zero or low trading volume indicates thin liquidity and that prices may reflect the views of very few participants; price movements may therefore be more volatile and less robust until more trading activity occurs.