| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest temperature recorded in Denver on March 17, 2026 will be, a single-day weather outcome with practical relevance for energy demand, event planning, and weather trading.
Denver in mid-March is climatologically transitional and can swing between cold, snowy conditions and mild, warm days driven by Pacific systems and mountain-induced winds. Local factors (elevation, urban vs. airport station), synoptic-scale pattern, and short-term model guidance all contribute to wide variability on a specific date like March 17.
Market prices represent the collective expectation about which temperature outcome will be observed and settle according to the contract's official data source and rules; check the market page for the definitive settlement definition and live prices.
Settlement follows the data source and station specified in the Kalshi contract description for this market—review the market page and settlement rules to see the exact observing station and data feed used.
The contract defines the calendar day and time zone used (typically a local 00:00–23:59 period at the designated station); consult the market's settlement definition for the precise time window and any measurement conventions.
The six discrete outcomes correspond to the temperature bins or values listed on this Kalshi market; the market description displays the exact boundaries or values and any rounding rules, so check that page for details.
The market's close time is shown on the Kalshi platform (currently listed as TBD); settlement typically occurs after the official day's observations are published and any platform-specific verification windows elapse—see the market rules for the precise settlement timeline.
Watch National Weather Service/NOAA forecasts for Denver, the local NWS office forecasts, short-range high-resolution models (HRRR), global models (GFS, ECMWF), surface and airport observations at the designated station, and any updates about large-scale teleconnection patterns that could affect the period.