| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest temperature recorded in Denver on March 15, 2026 will be. It allows traders to express views on a single-day weather outcome that can matter for energy, logistics, events, and short-term weather risk.
Denver's March climate is highly variable because of its elevation and proximity to the Rocky Mountains; late-winter to early-spring days can swing between below-freezing and mild spring conditions. Synoptic drivers such as Pacific storm systems, regional ridges or troughs, and transient chinook/downsloping winds often determine day-to-day extremes. Settlement will be based on the official observational definition and data source specified in the event rules.
Market odds reflect the collective expectation about which discrete temperature outcome will occur; treat them as a real-time consensus signal rather than a guaranteed forecast. Always consult the event's settlement terms for the official definition of temperature, station, rounding, and the exact time window used for Mar 15, 2026.
The event's settlement terms on the Kalshi listing specify the official data source and station identifier (for example, an NWS/NOAA observation site). Check the event page for the named station and provider that will be used for settlement.
The settlement window (for example, the local calendar day from 00:00 to 23:59 at the specified station) is defined in the event rules—confirm the time zone and start/end times on the event page.
The event rules define the measurement (typically the maximum official 2-meter air temperature observed by the named station) and the rounding/precision used for settlement; consult those terms for exact conventions.
Contingency procedures—such as using an alternate official station, an alternative dataset, or other fallback rules—are specified in the event's settlement terms. Review those provisions on the event page to see the exact fallback hierarchy.
The event listing shows the close time (currently TBD) and the exact mapping of each of the six discrete outcomes to temperature values or ranges. Watch the event page for the posted close time and the precise outcome definitions before trading.