| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature range will contain Denver's highest reported temperature on March 13, 2026. It matters because single-day temperature extremes influence energy use, travel disruptions, and local decision-making, and markets aggregate diverse information about those outcomes.
Denver's weather in mid‑March is highly variable: large-scale atmospheric patterns, Chinook wind events, and late‑season storms can all produce rapid swings in temperature. Climate trends have shifted typical seasonal baselines, but day‑to‑day outcomes remain driven by transient synoptic conditions and local factors such as elevation and snow cover.
Market prices reflect the crowd's collective view about which outcome will occur and should be read as relative likelihoods rather than guarantees. For final resolution, consult the event's published source and rules to see which official observation will be used.
Resolution will rely on the official data source specified in the event rules—typically the National Weather Service/NOAA observation for Denver's designated climate station as published in the official daily summary. Check the event's rules page for the exact data source named for this market.
The market uses the calendar date as defined by the named data provider and the event rules (local date for Denver). Confirm the exact start/end times and whether local standard or daylight time applies by reviewing the event's resolution policy.
Fallback and verification procedures are set out in the event's resolution rules; common approaches include using an alternate nearby official station, applying corrected or quality‑controlled values from the data provider, or following a specified cancellation/void policy. Refer to the market's official resolution clause for details.
Historical March patterns provide context about typical variability and seasonal tendencies, but they do not determine a single day's outcome because short‑term synoptic conditions and local effects drive daily maxima.
The listing currently shows a closing time of TBD; settlement will occur after the official data for the date are published and any verification window specified in the rules has elapsed. Check the event page or exchange announcements for updates on the closing time and settlement schedule.