| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the listed temperature outcomes will be the highest observed temperature in Denver on March 12, 2026; it matters for traders, weather-sensitive businesses, and anyone hedging or speculating on short-term weather risk.
Denver in March is climatologically variable: systems bringing late-season snow can coexist with strong downslope (Chinook) warming events that produce sharp daytime temperature rises. Long-term climate trends and recent seasonal patterns can shift the odds of extreme warm or cold days, but day-to-day conditions are dominated by synoptic-scale weather patterns.
Market prices on this contract represent the market’s collective view of which outcome is most likely and will update as new forecasts and observations arrive; they are a real-time signal, not a guarantee of the eventual recorded temperature.
This market offers six discrete outcomes representing predefined temperature ranges for Denver on Mar 12, 2026; the market contract page lists the exact numeric ranges and the unit of measurement (e.g., °F or °C).
The contract’s settlement rules specify the official source and station used for this market (typically an NWS/NOAA-designated station); consult the Kalshi market details for the named reporting site and data vendor that will be used for settlement.
Most weather contracts use the highest reported observation during the local calendar day (00:00–23:59 local time) at the designated station and follow the data provider’s rounding or reporting conventions; check the contract’s settlement rules for the exact definition applied here.
This market currently shows a TBD close time; typically trading closes before the observation window begins and settlement occurs after the official daily observations are published—verify the precise close and settlement timestamps on the market page.
Contract rules usually include contingency procedures (use of an alternate official station, use of final revised values, or a dispute/resolution process); review the market’s settlement and dispute provisions and contact Kalshi support for clarifications if an anomaly occurs.