| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the highest air temperature recorded in Dallas on March 17, 2026; it matters for weather-sensitive planning, local energy demand, and testing seasonal forecast skill.
Dallas in mid‑March sits in a transitional season with strong day‑to‑day variability driven by passing fronts, springtime storms, and occasional warm spells. Historical highs and lows on a given date can vary widely, so short‑range weather model updates and the timing of synoptic systems matter a lot for this specific day.
Market prices represent the crowd’s view about which temperature range will be the day’s maximum and will move as forecasts and observations change. Use the market as a realtime indicator of expected conditions rather than a fixed climatological statement.
The event’s resolution rules on the platform specify the official observation source (typically a National Weather Service official station such as an airport ASOS/ASOS‑equivalent); check the event page for the exact station used to resolve this market.
Most weather markets use the local calendar day (00:00 to 23:59 local time) at the designated official station; confirm the precise start/end times and time zone on the event’s rule page.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold listed on the event page; consult the market description to see the exact bins and whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive.
Resolution follows the platform’s stated policies: they typically rely on National Weather Service data and may use an alternate nearby official station or published revisions; the event’s resolution rules explain tie‑breakers and fallback procedures.
Closing time is listed on the event page (currently shown as TBD); markets commonly close before the observation period begins, and final resolution occurs after the official daily maximum is published—check the event page for the scheduled close and resolution timestamps.