| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature bin will contain the highest observed air temperature in Dallas on March 14, 2026. It matters to traders and weather-sensitive users because it translates meteorological uncertainty into a tradable outcome with economic and informational value.
Dallas in mid-March sits in a transitional season with frequent swings between warm spells and cooler air intrusions, so single-day highs can vary substantially depending on the synoptic pattern. Historical climate variability and recent multi-year warming trends both influence the baseline expectation for a March day in North Texas.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of participants about which outcome will occur and update as forecasts and observations evolve; they are best interpreted as a consensus signal, not a guarantee of the realized temperature.
Consult the market's official resolution text for the designated observing station, measurement height, and unit; resolution typically depends on an official meteorological observation reported by the authority named in the market rules.
The event page lists the market close time; because this market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', check back for the announced cut-off, which is usually set before the observation period begins.
The six outcomes correspond to discrete temperature categories or ranges defined on the event page—review the outcome labels on the market to map each bin to its temperature interval.
Use short- and medium-range model forecasts, ensemble spreads, and the latest surface observations to assess the synoptic setup and day-of timing; update positions as forecast confidence changes and watch for rapid frontal developments.
Settlement procedure depends on the market's stated rules—many markets use the final official value published by the designated authority, including approved revisions; check the event resolution policy for specifics on revisions and dispute processes.