| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in Dallas on March 13, 2026 will be. It matters for traders who want to speculate on near-term weather outcomes and for anyone tracking temperature-driven impacts like energy demand or outdoor event planning.
March is a seasonal transition month in North Texas, so conditions can swing from cool, rainy spells to warm, sunny days depending on synoptic patterns. Daily maximum temperatures on a given date depend on the interaction of large-scale weather systems (ridges, troughs, cold fronts) and local effects (urban heat island, cloud cover). Historical records and recent seasonal forecasts provide context but do not determine the single-day outcome.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which outcome (temperature range) will be realized on March 13, 2026 and will change as forecasts and observations evolve. Check the contract terms for the official settlement source and timing before trading.
Resolution will occur after the market's designated observing authority publishes the official daily maximum for the March 13 local calendar date; the market page and contract terms specify the exact publication and settlement schedule.
The contract's specification names the official observing station or dataset used for settlement (for example a local ASOS/ASOS-equivalent or a designated NOAA dataset); consult the market page to see which station or dataset is binding.
Each of the six outcomes corresponds to a labeled temperature range (bracket) for the highest temperature on March 13, 2026; the market page lists the exact ranges and labels for each outcome.
The highest temperature is the maximum air temperature recorded during the defined observation period at the designated station; any rounding, unit conversion, or tie-breaking rules are specified in the contract's settlement rules.
Short- and medium-range model forecast runs, changing trajectories of fronts or upper-level ridges, surface observation trends (temperatures, cloud cover), and verified radar/satellite trends that alter expected cloudiness or precipitation are the main drivers of price movement.