| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° to 76° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 79° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to predict the daily maximum temperature recorded in Dallas, Texas, on April 7, 2026. These forecasts reflect collective sentiment regarding regional climate trends and long-range meteorological patterns.
Dallas experiences significant variability in early April due to the transition from spring to summer. Historically, temperatures during this period are influenced by shifting air masses, frontal boundaries moving across the Great Plains, and the intensifying spring sun. Analysts monitoring this market must consider regional climatological averages alongside anomalous weather patterns.
The market prices indicate the consensus expectation for the temperature range on the target date, shifting as updated meteorological data and long-range forecasts become available.
The result is based on the official daily high temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for the designated Dallas observation station.
No, the market relies strictly on the official reporting station data to ensure a standardized, verifiable outcome.
Extreme events are included in the recorded daily high, as the market aims to capture the actual temperature realized at the official station regardless of the cause.
Reliability generally increases as the date approaches, as long-range climate models gain accuracy compared to early-stage statistical projections.
Yes, Dallas has historically experienced significant fluctuations in early April, ranging from unseasonably cold snaps to early-season heat waves.