| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) on April 2, 2026. It provides a specialized instrument for participants to hedge against or speculate on spring weather volatility in North Texas.
April in North Texas is a transitional period characterized by significant variability as cold fronts from the north frequently collide with moisture-rich air from the Gulf of Mexico. Historical data for early April in Dallas shows a broad range of potential outcomes, reflecting the region's susceptibility to rapidly changing spring storm systems and shifting jet stream patterns.
Market prices represent the collective expectation for the temperature range, with shifts indicating changing forecasts based on long-range atmospheric models and historical climatological trends.
The market utilizes official records from the National Weather Service (NWS) observation station located at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (DFW).
The highest temperature is defined as the maximum ambient air temperature recorded between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM local time on April 2, 2026.
Spring in Dallas is notoriously volatile; a single afternoon storm or cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 10-20 degrees compared to a sunny day, creating wide variance in potential outcomes.
Yes, historical records for early April show a wide distribution, ranging from unseasonably cold morning freezes to summer-like heat exceeding 90 degrees Fahrenheit.
In cases of official reporting station outages, data is typically sourced from verified NWS backup reporting procedures or the official final NWS daily climate report (CF6).