| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° to 62° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded at Boston Logan International Airport on March 30, 2026. It serves as a financial derivative for weather volatility in New England during the transition from late winter to early spring.
Boston's climate in late March is notoriously volatile, influenced by the competing effects of increasing solar radiation and the lingering cold of the North Atlantic. Historical data shows significant variance in daily highs for this date, ranging from near-freezing conditions to unseasonably warm spring days depending on wind direction and pressure systems. Local meteorological patterns often depend on whether air masses originate from the frigid Canadian interior or warmer southern latitudes.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of meteorological models and historical averages, adjusted for prevailing long-term climate trends.
The market relies on the official temperature data recorded by the National Weather Service at Boston Logan International Airport.
The outcome is determined by the official daily high temperature reading regardless of the weather conditions or severity of storms.
No, this market tracks the actual recorded air temperature, not the wind chill, heat index, or any other derived metrics.
It is defined as the maximum air temperature recorded at the official station within the 24-hour period of the calendar day, Eastern Time.
Historically, average highs for this date are in the mid-to-high 40s Fahrenheit, though recorded extremes have frequently deviated significantly from this mean.