| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature range will be the highest recorded in Boston on March 29, 2026; it matters because daily extremes reflect short-term weather systems and inform weather-sensitive decisions for travel, energy, and outdoor planning.
Late March in Boston is a transitional period with high variability: it can produce springlike warmth, nor'easters with cold air, or modest temperature swings driven by frontal systems and coastal effects. Seasonal warming trends and the state of large-scale patterns (blocking highs, troughs, Atlantic sea-surface temperatures) set the broad context for this specific date.
Market prices represent the aggregation of participants' expectations about which predefined temperature outcome will be observed on March 29, 2026; as meteorological forecasts and observations change, market prices typically update to reflect the latest information.
Resolution follows the data source and method specified in the market's rules; many markets use the official National Weather Service station for Boston (e.g., the KBOS/Logan Airport observation) and its published daily records—consult the market's resolution criteria to confirm.
The market will use a single calendar day as defined in its rules, typically the local date from 00:00 to 23:59 local time; for March 29, 2026 this corresponds to Boston local time (Eastern Daylight Time), but verify the market's time-zone specification.
This market is structured with six discrete outcome bins that cover mutually exclusive temperature ranges; the exact bin boundaries are listed on the market page and determine which bin wins based on the official observed maximum for the date.
Resolution procedures (including rules for missing data, sensor errors, or ties) are set by the market operator and its stated resolution policy—check the market's FAQ or rulebook for the specific tie-breaking and data-replacement procedures.
The market's close time is specified on the market page (it may be listed as TBD until set); outcome resolution typically occurs after the official daily observations are published by the designated data source, and the market will announce the winning outcome once it has been verified.