| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Logan International Airport in Boston, Massachusetts, on April 7, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on regional climate trends.
Boston experiences significant transitional weather in early April as the region shifts from late winter into mid-spring. Historical records show a wide variance in daily highs during this window, heavily influenced by the interplay between cold maritime air from the Atlantic and warmer continental air masses moving in from the west. Monitoring these climate patterns provides insight into regional weather variability.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how the specific weather conditions on that date will align with historical averages and seasonal climate outlooks.
The official daily maximum temperature is determined by data reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) for the observation station at Logan International Airport.
It is defined as the maximum temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026, consistent with the standard NWS daily reporting window.
Regardless of extreme weather or record-breaking conditions, the settlement is strictly based on the official temperature reading released by the NWS.
Logan Airport is the primary official weather observation site for Boston, providing the consistent, long-term standardized data required for market settlement.
No, the market strictly concerns the ambient air temperature recorded by the thermometer; wind chill and heat index factors are excluded.