| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° to 63° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the maximum daily temperature recorded in Boston, Massachusetts, on April 3, 2026. It serves as a localized instrument for forecasting spring weather patterns in a coastal New England climate.
April in Boston is characterized by significant meteorological volatility as the region transitions from winter to spring. Historically, temperatures for this date are influenced by the interplay between warming inland air masses and the cooling effects of the Atlantic Ocean, often resulting in wide daily fluctuations.
Participants use this market to express views on atmospheric trends and regional climate variability by betting on specific temperature ranges.
The result is based on the official daily high temperature recorded at the primary reporting station for Boston, typically Logan International Airport, as verified by the National Weather Service.
No, this market tracks the actual thermometer reading recorded as the daily high, not perceived temperature or wind-adjusted values.
The market will settle based on the official temperature data provided by the National Weather Service, regardless of whether the day features record-breaking or unusual weather conditions.
Boston's proximity to the Atlantic Ocean can lead to rapid temperature drops if a 'sea breeze' develops, which often makes forecasting exact daily highs more difficult than in inland locations.
The temperature is measured over a 24-hour calendar day period (local time), so time zone adjustments are accounted for by the standard reporting schedule of the National Weather Service.