| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° to 41° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42° to 43° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° to 45° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Boston on April 2, 2026. Predicting specific meteorological events months in advance serves as a gauge for volatility and climate trend analysis in New England.
April in Boston is characterized by significant seasonal transition, where temperatures are heavily influenced by the shifting interaction between continental air masses and the cooling effect of the Atlantic Ocean. Historical climate data from the National Weather Service provides the baseline for expected averages, though specific daily peaks are subject to high variance due to unpredictable spring storm tracks.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the daily high will fall within specific temperature ranges, effectively aggregating available meteorological models into a single forecast.
The official daily maximum temperature is sourced from the National Weather Service observations for Boston, Massachusetts.
April in Boston can see rapid temperature swings due to the 'sea breeze' effect and the clash between late-winter cold and early-spring warmth, making precise daily predictions challenging.
No, this market specifically focuses on the highest temperature reached within the 24-hour period of April 2, 2026.
Unpredictable events such as late-season coastal storms or unseasonably warm high-pressure systems can lead to outcomes significantly outside of the historical norm.
Historical archives are available through the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service online climate databases.