| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° to 92° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 93° to 94° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded at the primary weather station for Austin, Texas, on March 30, 2026. It provides a localized view of short-term climate variability in the region.
March in Central Texas is a transitional period characterized by significant day-to-day volatility as cold fronts from the north collide with warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico. Austin historical data for late March typically shows a broad range of temperatures, influenced by the prevalence of spring storm systems and shifting jet stream patterns. Meteorologists monitor these patterns closely to determine the probability of heat surges versus late-season cool fronts.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of weather outcomes based on current long-range meteorological forecasts and historical seasonal averages.
The market utilizes the official National Weather Service (NWS) reporting station at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (AUS).
No, the market is strictly based on the ambient air temperature as recorded by the official station, not the perceived temperature.
In the event of a station outage, the data will be sourced from standard NWS backup protocols or the nearest reliable official monitoring site as defined by the market terms.
Spring in Austin is highly unstable; the outcome is sensitive to the timing of cold fronts, which can cause temperature fluctuations of 20 to 30 degrees Fahrenheit within a 24-hour period.
The high temperature is the maximum ambient air temperature recorded over the standard 24-hour period designated by the NWS for that calendar date.