| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Austin, Texas, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a tool for participants to hedge against climate variability or speculate on spring weather patterns in Central Texas.
Austin experiences significant temperature volatility during early April as the region transitions from winter to the heat of late spring. Historical climate data for early April shows a broad range of typical highs, influenced by shifting cold fronts and the varying arrival of tropical air masses from the Gulf of Mexico. This event captures the uncertainty inherent in regional microclimates over long-range time horizons.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the daily high will land, reflecting current meteorological models and historical climate averages.
The official reading is typically derived from the primary National Weather Service reporting station at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Rules usually dictate that the temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree or follows the specific exchange documentation to determine which bucket contains the result.
No, the market is designed to reflect actual recorded temperatures regardless of whether the weather is considered normal or anomalous.
The maximum temperature is the highest value recorded at any point during the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026, typically occurring during the mid-to-late afternoon.
Yes, long-term warming trends in Central Texas have historically pushed average spring highs slightly upward compared to historical 30-year climate averages.