| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest observed temperature in Atlanta will be on March 28, 2026; it matters because short-term temperature outcomes affect energy demand, public health planning, and weather-sensitive operations. Participants trade on expectations about that single calendar-day observation under the market's settlement rules.
Late March is a transitional period in the Southeast when both warm spring ridging and lingering cool air masses can produce rapid swings in daily highs. Atlanta's reported daily maximum depends on synoptic-scale patterns (e.g., position of the jet stream and frontal passages), as well as local factors such as urban heat island effects and cloud cover. Historical variability in late-March temperatures means markets often respond to short-range model runs and new observational data as the date approaches.
Market odds reflect the collective view of traders about which outcome will be recorded under the event's stated settlement procedure; they are not guarantees of what will occur. Always interpret odds relative to the market's exact outcome definitions and official data source rather than as a standalone weather forecast.
The exact observing station(s) and data source used for settlement are specified in the market's official description and settlement rules on the Kalshi platform; check that page to see whether the market uses a particular ASOS station, NWS/NOAA datasets, or another defined source.
The market's settlement rules define the date/time window (commonly a local calendar day such as 00:00–23:59 local time or a specified observation synoptic period); refer to the event description on Kalshi to confirm the precise timing used for the reported maximum.
Tie-resolution procedures (if any) are outlined in the market's official settlement specifications; if ties are not addressed there, contact Kalshi support or consult the platform's rulebook for how identical values are settled.
The market close time is listed on the Kalshi market page (this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD'); settlement typically occurs after the official observation is available and any verification period in the market rules has passed—check the event page for the final schedule.
Track short-range numerical weather prediction guidance (e.g., ECMWF and GFS model ensembles), forecasts and warnings from the National Weather Service and the local NWS Weather Forecast Office covering Atlanta, and real-time surface observations from official stations (ASOS/COOP) to monitor trends and shifts that could affect the daily high.