| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in Atlanta will be on March 27, 2026; it matters because daily high temperatures influence energy demand, public health preparedness, and weather-sensitive economic activity. Trading aggregates diverse information about expected conditions on that specific day.
Late March is a transitional month in Atlanta between winter and spring, so day-to-day maximum temperatures can swing with the passage of frontal systems, early-season warm spells, or lingering cool air. Longer-term climate trends, local land use, and short-term weather patterns all interact to determine the maximum temperature on a given date.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders based on available information (forecasts, observations, and models) and update as new data arrives; they are not guarantees but a real-time summary of perceived likelihoods for each outcome.
The contract’s resolution rules specify the official observing station and dataset to be used; the highest gust-free air temperature reported for the calendar day (as defined in the contract) at that specified station will determine the outcome.
The market page and contract text list the exact data source and observing station the platform will use for resolution—commonly an official National Weather Service station—but you should check the event's rules on the platform for the definitive source.
The contract includes tie-breaking and dispute procedures; typically the outcome relies on a single pre-specified official dataset, and if that dataset is unavailable the rules describe an alternate source or adjudication process.
The resolution rules specify which time standard and time zone apply (for Atlanta this is usually local time with any applicable daylight saving adjustments); consult the contract text to see how the 24‑hour period is defined for this event.
Focus on climatological seasonality for late March (typical variability), recent weeks’ temperature trends, forecast model guidance and ensemble spread in the days before the date, and any known synoptic drivers (incoming fronts or warm spells); also consider local factors like urban heat island effects and surface moisture.