| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62° to 63° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest official air temperature recorded in the Atlanta area will be on March 25, 2026. Outcomes provide a way to trade on near-term weather risk that matters for energy use, outdoor events, transportation, and health planning.
Late March in Atlanta is a transitional period with fairly high day-to-day variability: warm spring ridging can produce unseasonably high temperatures while passing cold fronts can produce much cooler conditions. Long-term climate trends have shifted the baseline climate, but individual daily outcomes remain strongly driven by short-term synoptic weather patterns and timing of fronts.
Market prices aggregate traders' best information about upcoming forecasts, model runs, and local observations; they update as new model output and observations arrive. Use prices as a real‑time signal of consensus expectations, while also consulting operational forecasts and official observations for decision making.
The market resolves to the highest official temperature as reported by the designated official observing station named in the contract; participants should check the event's resolution rules on the exchange to see which specific station or official data source will be used (commonly the principal NWS/airport station serving Atlanta).
The market uses the calendar day for the local time zone of the designated observing station (local 00:00–23:59); the contract's resolution rules will confirm the applicable timezone and whether Daylight Saving adjustments apply.
Resolution follows the official reporting conventions of the designated observing station: typically the daily maximum air temperature value as reported by the official dataset or automated station, including whatever rounding or observation protocol that station uses; see the contract's resolution methodology for details.
Yes — if the designated official source issues post‑day revisions or corrected data, the exchange will use the official final value specified by its resolution rules. Check whether the market waits for final verified observations or uses preliminary reports.
Watch deterministic and ensemble outputs from major models (e.g., global and high‑resolution regional models), short‑range convective guidance, surface and upper‑air analyses, satellite and radar trends, and official NWS forecast discussions, which together indicate frontal timing, cloud cover, and potential mesoscale influences that drive the day’s peak temperature.