| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° to 63° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest observed temperature in Atlanta will be on March 24, 2026. Daily high temperatures are a simple, measurable weather outcome useful for short-term planning and climate context.
Late-March temperatures in Atlanta sit in a transition season where warm spring air masses can be interrupted by late-season cold fronts; variability from year to year is common. Historical climate data show a wide range of possible highs on this date, influenced by large-scale weather patterns and local effects such as urban heat and station exposure.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about the eventual recorded maximum temperature at the official observing site for Atlanta on that calendar day; settlement will follow the market’s stated official data source and timing.
Settlement will use the official maximum temperature reported for the calendar day March 24, 2026 at the market’s designated Atlanta observing site, typically the National Weather Service/NOAA daily summary from the official airport ASOS; consult the market rules for the precise source.
The market’s close time is listed on the exchange (currently TBD); settlement will occur after the official data for March 24, 2026 are published by the designated data provider and any contest-specific verification window has passed.
The Hartsfield‑Jackson Atlanta International Airport (the local ASOS/FAA site used by NWS) is the standard official station for Atlanta climate records, but the market’s rules will state the exact station used for settlement—check those rules to be certain.
Microclimates—urban heat island, nearby water bodies, and station exposure—can alter the recorded maximum by several degrees relative to broader regional forecasts; that’s why knowing the settlement station matters for fine distinctions between outcome ranges.
Short-range forecast models and ensemble guidance, surface and upper-air observations (soundings), satellite imagery for cloud cover trends, and near-term temperature trends from local stations are most informative in the 0–72 hour window before the day.